Economía. Volumen 26 Número 51 - 52 (2003)

URI permanente para esta colecciónhttp://54.81.141.168/handle/123456789/176991

Tabla de Contenido
Articles
  • Impacto económico de la malaria en el Perú Francke, Pedro; 1-30
  • Health Reform in the Social Security System: The Peruvian Case García Núñez, Luis; 31-46
  • De la necesidad a la preferencias: los significados de la libertad Iguíñiz Echeverria, Javier María; 47-78
  • El carácter prociclico de la política fiscal: notas sobre la ley de prudcencia y transparencia fiscal Jiménez, Félix; 79-112
  • Y a usted... ¿le sobre la plata? Determinantes de los precios minoristas en el mercado de gasolina, en Lima Metropolitana Ruiz Díaz, Gonzalo; 113-156
  • La ley de Okun en el Perú: 1970-2000 Garavito, Cecilia; 157-196
  • Clusters de la industria en el Perú Torres Zorrilla, Jorge; 197-259

    • Reviews
  • Sheahan, John. La Economía peruana desde 1950. Buscando una sociedad mejor Contreras, Carlos; 260-261
  • Wise, Carol. Reinventando el Estado: estrategia económica y cambio institucional en el Perú Deza, Milagros; 262-263
  • Santos Granero, Fernando y Frederica Barclay. La frontera doméstica: historia económica y social de Loreto, 1850-2000 Ortiz Paredes, Cesar Marcelo; 264-267

    • Explorar

    Selecciona resultados tecleando las primeras letras
    Mostrando 1 - 1 de 1
    • No hay miniatura disponible
      ÍtemTexto completo enlazado
      La ley de Okun en el Perú: 1970-2000
      (Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Fondo Editorial, 2003) Garavito, Cecilia
      The objective of this work is to analyze the existing relation between employment,unemployment and production, by means of the estimation of the Okun coefficient for thePeruvian Economy. A previous step consists in the estimation of the employment-productionelasticity. Both parameters are important elements for macroeconomic policy design, and theevaluation of its effects on employment and welfare. Based on a cointegration analysis we find a positive long-term relation between the employment rate and Lima's GDP throughout the period,where the employment rate rises in 0.0288 percentage points for a rise of 1000 nuevos soles of1979. We also estimate an Okun coefficient of 0.0845, its low value is only comparable withthose of Japan, Bolivia and Argentina. In Peru's case, the reason for this low coefficient can befound in the procyclical behavior of the labor force, and in the fact that workers retire from thelabor market when they lose their post. We also find that the rate of growth of the GDP must beat least of 3.31% in order to keep the unemployment rate from rising, and of about 11% to lowerthe unemployment rate in one point. Finally, we estimate recursive Okun coefficients based onthe cyclical components of the series, which gives us a range between 0.02 and 0.12 for thewhole period.