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Evolution over time of the effects of fiscal shocks in the peruvian economy: empirical application using TVP-VAR-SV models
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 2023-01)
This study assesses the evolving impact of fiscal policy on Peru’s economic activity in 1993Q4-2018Q2 using unrestricted and restricted TVP-VAR-SV models according to the approach proposed by Chan and Eisenstat (2018a). ...
Modeling the Volatility of Returns on Commodities: An Application and Empirical Comparison of GARCH and SV Models
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 2020-02)
Seven GARCH and stochastic volatility (SV) models are used to model and compare empirically
the volatility of returns on four commodities: gold, copper, oil, and natural gas. The results
show evidence of fat tails and ...