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Now showing items 1-10 of 11
Does the Central Bank of Peru respond to exchange rate movements? a bayesian estimation of a new keynesian DSGE model with FX interventions
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 2021-12)
This paper assess the role played by the exchange rate and FX intervention in setting monetary
policy interest rates in Peru. We estimate a Taylor rule that includes inflation, output gap and
the exchange rate using a ...
Time evolution of external shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Pacific Alliance countries: empirical application using TVP-VAR-SV models
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, 2022-03)
This article provides empirical evidence on the evolution of the impact of external shocks on the
macroeconomic dynamics of the Pacific Alliance (PA) countries. For this purpose, we estimate
a family of VAR models that ...
Time-varying effects of external shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Peru: an empirical application using TVP-VAR- SV models
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 2022-03)
This study uses a family of VAR models with time-varying coefficients and stochastic volatility
(TVP-VAR-SV) to analyze the impact of external shocks on output growth and inflation in Peru in
1992Q1-2017Q1. The statistical ...
Stochastic Volatility in Mean. Empirical Evidence from Stock Latin American Markets
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 2020-02)
Using a Stochastic Volatility in Mean (SVM) model, we perform an empirical study of live Latin
American indexes in order to see the impact of the volatility in the mean of the returns. We
use MCMC Hamiltonian dynamics. ...
Time-Varying Impact of Fiscal Shocks over GDP Growth in Peru: An Empirical Application using Hybrid TVP-VAR-SV Models
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 2020-04)
This paper estimates hybrid TVP-VAR-SV models suggested by Chan and Eisentat (2018a) in
order to identify and quantify the impact of fiscal shocks on the GDP growth of Peru during 1995-
2018. According to Bayesian criteria, ...
Modeling the Volatility of Returns on Commodities: An Application and Empirical Comparison of GARCH and SV Models
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 2020-02)
Seven GARCH and stochastic volatility (SV) models are used to model and compare empirically
the volatility of returns on four commodities: gold, copper, oil, and natural gas. The results
show evidence of fat tails and ...
Evolution of the exchange rate pass-throught into prices in Peru: an empirical application using TVP-VAR-SV models
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 2022-05)
We use a set of VAR models with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility (TVP-VARSV) to estimate the evolution of the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into prices for Peru
over 1995Q2-2019Q4. According to two ...
Macroeconomic Effects of Loan Supply Shocks: Empirical Evidence for Peru
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 2020-02)
This paper quantifies and assesses the impact of an adverse loan supply (LS) shock on Peruís main
macroeconomic aggregates using a Bayesian vector autoregressive (BVAR) model in combination
with an identification scheme ...
Approximate bayesian estimation of stochastic volatility in mean models using hidden Markov models: empirical evidence from stock Latin American markets
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 2021-10)
The stochastic volatility in mean (SVM) model proposed by Koopman and Uspensky (2002) is revisited. This paper has two goals. The first is to offer a methodology that requires less computational time in simulations and ...
Evolution of Monetary Policy in Peru: An Empirical Application using a Mixture Innovation TVP-VAR-SV Model
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 2020-02)
This paper discusses the evolution of monetary policy (MP) in Peru in 1996Q1-2016Q4 using a
mixture innovation time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model with stochastic volatility
(TVP-VAR-SV) as proposed by ...